Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.020552 0.022102 0.023713 0.025515 0.027474 0.029542 0.031893
2026-01-04 0.017936 0.020161 0.022593 0.025454 0.028735 0.032390 0.036783
2026-01-11 0.016288 0.018916 0.021896 0.025539 0.029890 0.034941 0.041281
2026-01-18 0.015040 0.017930 0.021307 0.025566 0.030824 0.037140 0.045361
2026-01-25 0.014116 0.017209 0.020918 0.025724 0.031830 0.039389 0.049548
2026-02-01 0.013156 0.016351 0.020267 0.025462 0.032231 0.040836 0.052735
2026-02-08 0.012265 0.015506 0.019558 0.025046 0.032362 0.041886 0.055401
2026-02-15 0.011585 0.014880 0.019075 0.024869 0.032757 0.043260 0.058535
2026-02-22 0.010948 0.014266 0.018561 0.024601 0.032987 0.044390 0.061358
2026-03-01 0.010408 0.013747 0.018138 0.024417 0.033299 0.045618 0.064358
2026-03-08 0.009922 0.013272 0.017743 0.024238 0.033589 0.046807 0.067339
2026-03-15 0.009550 0.012931 0.017508 0.024262 0.034154 0.048397 0.070985
2026-03-22 0.009118 0.012501 0.017148 0.024116 0.034504 0.049751 0.074458
2026-03-29 0.008748 0.012143 0.016874 0.024081 0.035017 0.051380 0.078480
2026-04-05 0.008443 0.011861 0.016692 0.024165 0.035703 0.053297 0.083071
2026-04-12 0.008145 0.011573 0.016483 0.024191 0.036290 0.055080 0.087544
2026-04-19 0.007903 0.011354 0.016362 0.024339 0.037067 0.057193 0.092690
2026-04-26 0.007573 0.010988 0.016002 0.024094 0.037195 0.058254 0.096103
2026-05-03 0.007227 0.010584 0.015566 0.023703 0.037062 0.058867 0.098758
2026-05-10 0.006960 0.010288 0.015281 0.023536 0.037280 0.060066 0.102515
2026-05-17 0.006690 0.009975 0.014955 0.023285 0.037339 0.060988 0.105818
2026-05-24 0.006454 0.009706 0.014686 0.023112 0.037517 0.062115 0.109560
2026-05-31 0.006233 0.009451 0.014428 0.022944 0.037688 0.063233 0.113348